AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 11, 2026

Bataguassu

Home
VS
22:00

Portuguesa MS

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Bataguassu Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Portuguesa MS Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.59 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bataguassu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Portuguesa MS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Bataguassu Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Bataguassu vs Cr Aquida… 1-1
Jan 31 Bataguassu vs Corumbaen… 2-3
Jan 28 Bataguassu vs Águia Neg… 1-1
Jan 24 Bataguassu vs Naviraien… 2-0
Portuguesa MS Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Portugues… vs Corumbaen… 1-1
Feb 01 Portugues… vs Costa Rica 2-1
Jan 28 Portugues… vs Dourados … 0-1
Jan 24 Portugues… vs Águia Neg… 1-2
Jan 18 Portugues… vs Operário … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

MASTER: Bataguassu to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Bataguassu Power 0
Portuguesa MS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Bataguassu Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Portuguesa MS Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.