AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 08, 2026

Costa Rica

Home
VS
19:30

Águia Negra

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Costa Rica Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Águia Negra Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.70 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Águia Negra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Costa Rica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-1
Feb 01 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 2-1
Jan 28 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 1-0
Jan 24 Costa Rica vs Cr Aquida… 1-1
Mar 09 Costa Rica vs Operário … 3-1
Mar 05 Costa Rica vs Operário … 0-1
Mar 02 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 2-3
Feb 23 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 2-2
Feb 15 Costa Rica vs Operário … 1-0
Feb 09 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 1-1
Águia Negra Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Águia Neg… vs Operário … 1-1
Jan 31 Águia Neg… vs Dourados … 1-0
Jan 28 Águia Neg… vs Bataguassu 1-1
Jan 24 Águia Neg… vs Portugues… 1-2
Mar 23 Águia Neg… vs Ivinhema 4-1
Mar 16 Águia Neg… vs Ivinhema 0-1
Mar 09 Águia Neg… vs Dourados … 2-1
Mar 05 Águia Neg… vs Dourados … 2-1
Mar 02 Águia Neg… vs Corumbaen… 3-2
Feb 23 Águia Neg… vs Portugues… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Costa Rica Power 0
Águia Negra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Costa Rica Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Águia Negra Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.