AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 07, 2026

Cr Aquidauana

Home
VS
20:00

Corumbaense

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Cr Aquidauana Win
46.0%
Draw
24.8%
Corumbaense Win
29.2%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.89 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cr Aquidauana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Corumbaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Cr Aquidauana Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Cr Aquida… vs Bataguassu 1-1
Jan 31 Cr Aquida… vs Naviraien… 1-2
Jan 28 Cr Aquida… vs Operário … 3-0
Jan 24 Cr Aquida… vs Costa Rica 1-1
Corumbaense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Corumbaen… vs Portugues… 1-1
Jan 31 Corumbaen… vs Bataguassu 2-3
Jan 28 Corumbaen… vs Naviraien… 1-0
Jan 24 Corumbaen… vs Operário … 0-0
Mar 02 Corumbaen… vs Águia Neg… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Corumbaense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cr Aquidauana to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
Cr Aquidauana Power 0
Corumbaense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Cr Aquidauana Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Corumbaense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.