AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 04, 2026

Costa Rica

Home
VS
23:30

Dourados Atlético

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Costa Rica Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Dourados Atlético Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.38 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Dourados Atlético Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Costa Rica Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 2-1
Jan 28 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 1-0
Jan 24 Costa Rica vs Cr Aquida… 1-1
Mar 09 Costa Rica vs Operário … 3-1
Mar 05 Costa Rica vs Operário … 0-1
Mar 02 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 2-3
Feb 23 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 2-2
Feb 15 Costa Rica vs Operário … 1-0
Feb 09 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 1-1
Mar 24 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-1
Dourados Atlético Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dourados … vs Águia Neg… 1-0
Jan 28 Dourados … vs Portugues… 0-1
Jan 24 Dourados … vs Ivinhema 1-1
Mar 09 Dourados … vs Águia Neg… 2-1
Mar 05 Dourados … vs Águia Neg… 2-1
Feb 26 Dourados … vs Caxias 0-2
Feb 23 Dourados … vs Costa Rica 2-2
Feb 15 Dourados … vs Jataiense 2-0
Feb 08 Dourados … vs Tombense 0-1
Feb 02 Dourados … vs Ivinhema 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Costa Rica struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 Costa Rica 2 - 2 Dourados Atlético Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 24, 2024 Dourados Atlético 1 - 1 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 17, 2024 Costa Rica 0 - 0 Dourados Atlético Sul-Matogrosse…
Apr 10, 2022 Dourados Atlético 1 - 5 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 24, 2022 Costa Rica 1 - 0 Dourados Atlético Sul-Matogrosse…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Costa Rica Power 0
Dourados Atlético Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Costa Rica Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Dourados Atlético Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.