AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Apr 06, 2025

Ivinhema

Home
VS
21:00

Operário Ferroviário

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Ivinhema Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Operário Ferroviário Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.99 - 1.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ivinhema Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Operário Ferroviário Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Ivinhema Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Ivinhema vs Operário … 1-0
Mar 23 Ivinhema vs Águia Neg… 4-1
Mar 16 Ivinhema vs Águia Neg… 0-1
Mar 02 Ivinhema vs Costa Rica 2-3
Feb 23 Ivinhema vs Jataiense 0-2
Feb 16 Ivinhema vs Tombense 6-1
Feb 02 Ivinhema vs Dourados … 1-0
Jan 26 Ivinhema vs Operário … 0-4
Mar 24 Ivinhema vs Operário … 0-1
Mar 17 Ivinhema vs Operário … 0-1
Operário Ferroviário Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Operário … vs Ivinhema 1-0
Mar 22 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-2
Mar 16 Operário … vs Portugues… 2-2
Mar 09 Operário … vs Costa Rica 3-1
Mar 05 Operário … vs Costa Rica 0-1
Mar 02 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-4
Feb 15 Operário … vs Costa Rica 1-0
Feb 09 Operário … vs Jataiense 1-1
Feb 06 Operário … vs Tombense 2-1
Jan 26 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ivinhema in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Operário Ferroviário in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 Operário Ferroviário 1 - 0 Ivinhema Sul-Matogrosse…
Jan 26, 2025 Operário Ferroviário 0 - 4 Ivinhema Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 24, 2024 Operário Ferroviário 0 - 1 Ivinhema Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 17, 2024 Ivinhema 0 - 1 Operário Ferroviário Sul-Matogrosse…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ivinhema Power 0
Operário Ferroviário Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Ivinhema Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Operário Ferroviário Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.