AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 11, 2025

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
08:45

Brisbane Roar Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Brisbane Roar Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 3.51 - 2.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 2.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Melbourne City Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 05 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 1-1
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 2-1
Dec 20 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-3
Dec 15 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 4-2
Nov 30 Melbourne… vs Western S… 2-0
Nov 24 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 1-1
Nov 09 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-3
Nov 03 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 5-2
May 04 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Apr 28 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 3-0
Brisbane Roar Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-0
Jan 04 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 1-2
Dec 21 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 1-6
Dec 15 Brisbane … vs Central C… 2-1
Dec 08 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-1
Nov 22 Brisbane … vs Western S… 0-4
Nov 15 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 3-0
Nov 09 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Nov 02 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 3-2
Mar 30 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Brisbane Roar Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2024 Brisbane Roar Women 2 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Dec 28, 2023 Melbourne City Women 5 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 03, 2022 Melbourne City Women 3 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 24, 2022 Melbourne City Women 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Jan 29, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 31, 2021 Melbourne City Women 2 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.