AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 28, 2023

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
06:00

Brisbane Roar Women

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Brisbane Roar Women Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.10 - 1.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 1.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Melbourne City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Dec 09 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 1-3
Nov 26 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 2-3
Nov 19 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 2-3
Nov 12 Melbourne… vs Western S… 4-3
Oct 21 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-1
Oct 15 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Apr 15 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 3-3
Apr 02 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 3-3
Mar 26 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 4-3
Brisbane Roar Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 1-1
Dec 17 Brisbane … vs Western S… 1-1
Dec 10 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 5-1
Nov 26 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 1-1
Nov 12 Brisbane … vs Central C… 1-1
Nov 04 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-1
Oct 21 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Oct 15 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-2
Mar 26 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Mar 19 Brisbane … vs Western S… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2022 Melbourne City Women 3 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 24, 2022 Melbourne City Women 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Jan 29, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 31, 2021 Melbourne City Women 2 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.