AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 03, 2022

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
04:00

Brisbane Roar Women

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Brisbane Roar Women Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.33 - 1.77
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 0-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Melbourne City Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 20 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-4
Mar 20 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Mar 11 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 4-2
Mar 06 Melbourne… vs Western S… 0-2
Mar 01 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 2-0
Feb 24 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 0-1
Feb 13 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 0-4
Feb 06 Melbourne… vs Western S… 2-1
Jan 29 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Jan 15 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Brisbane Roar Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 26 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 1-1
Nov 19 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 2-1
Mar 10 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 3-3
Mar 07 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 4-0
Mar 04 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 1-5
Feb 24 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Feb 13 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 2-8
Feb 02 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 29 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-2
Jan 16 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Brisbane Roar Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2022 Melbourne City Women 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Jan 29, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 31, 2021 Melbourne City Women 2 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.