AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 24, 2022

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
08:45

Brisbane Roar Women

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Brisbane Roar Women Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.50 - 1.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Melbourne City Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 0-4
Feb 06 Melbourne… vs Western S… 2-1
Jan 29 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Jan 15 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Jan 09 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 4-0
Dec 26 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-5
Dec 18 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Dec 12 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Dec 03 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 0-1
Mar 25 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Brisbane Roar Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 2-8
Feb 02 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 29 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-2
Jan 16 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-3
Jan 09 Brisbane … vs Western S… 0-1
Jan 02 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-4
Dec 23 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 3-3
Dec 18 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-3
Apr 04 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-6
Mar 28 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Brisbane Roar Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 29, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 31, 2021 Melbourne City Women 2 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.