AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 31, 2021

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
05:05

Brisbane Roar Women

Away
AI Predictions 38.3% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
38.3%
Draw
26.3%
Brisbane Roar Women Win
35.3%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.39 - 0.56
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (39%) 0-1 (22%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 0-2 (6%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Melbourne City Women Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Jan 03 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-1
Dec 29 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 0-0
Brisbane Roar Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 1-1
Jan 07 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 1-1
Dec 29 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.