AI Match Insights
Premier Soccer League Feb 18, 2026
Orlando Pirates
HomeVS
17:30
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Orlando Pirates Win
Draw
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
Combined: 52%
Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.80 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orlando Pirates Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (22%)
0-0 (14%)
3-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
Orlando Pirates Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 03 | Orlando P… vs Amazulu | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Orlando P… vs Magesi | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Orlando P… vs Marumo Ga… | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Orlando P… vs Durban Ci… | 0-2 |
| Nov 25 | Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Orlando P… vs Richards … | 0-1 |
| Nov 05 | Orlando P… vs Golden Ar… | 1-3 |
| Nov 01 | Orlando P… vs Mamelodi … | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Orlando P… vs Magesi | 2-1 |
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 04 | Mamelodi … vs Gomora Un… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… | 0-2 |
| Jan 23 | Mamelodi … vs Al Hilal … | 2-2 |
| Jan 19 | Mamelodi … vs Orbit Col… | 2-0 |
| Dec 03 | Mamelodi … vs Siwelele | 1-1 |
| Nov 28 | Mamelodi … vs MC Alger | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Mamelodi … vs Saint Elo… | 3-1 |
| Nov 05 | Mamelodi … vs TS Galaxy | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Orlando Pirates in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 01, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 1 - 1 | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer… |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 1 - 1 | Orlando Pirates | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Orlando Pirates | 1 - 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 8 Cup |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Orlando Pirates | 2 - 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | Premier Soccer… |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 4 - 1 | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer… |
| Jun 01, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 1 - 2 | Orlando Pirates | Cup |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 1 - 1 | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer… |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Orlando Pirates | 0 - 0 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 8 Cup |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Orlando Pirates | 0 - 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | Premier Soccer… |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Orlando Pirates | 0 - 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | Premier Soccer… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Orlando Pirates to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Orlando Pirates Power
0
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Orlando Pirates Position+1
Position Gap2
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.