AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Jan 15, 2025

Tuntum

Home
VS
18:30

Imperatriz

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tuntum Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Imperatriz Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.75 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuntum Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Imperatriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Tuntum Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 2-1
Apr 07 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 1-0
Mar 10 Tuntum vs Moto Club… 1-1
Mar 03 Tuntum vs Sampaio C… 2-0
Feb 24 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 2-0
Feb 16 Tuntum vs Imperatriz 0-1
Jan 23 Tuntum vs Moto Club… 3-2
Jan 21 Tuntum vs Sampaio C… 0-1
Jan 17 Tuntum vs Maranhão … 4-0
Jan 14 Tuntum vs Imperatriz 1-1
Imperatriz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Imperatriz vs Maranhão … 1-1
Feb 29 Imperatriz vs Moto Club… 0-1
Feb 16 Imperatriz vs Tuntum 0-1
Jan 31 Imperatriz vs Maranhão … 0-1
Jan 17 Imperatriz vs Moto Club… 3-1
Jan 14 Imperatriz vs Tuntum 1-1
Feb 25 Imperatriz vs IAPE 1-2
Feb 21 Imperatriz vs Moto Club… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2024 Imperatriz 0 - 1 Tuntum Maranhense
Jan 14, 2024 Tuntum 1 - 1 Imperatriz Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuntum Power 0
Imperatriz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Tuntum Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Imperatriz Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.