AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Irish Cup Feb 07, 2026

Portadown

Home
VS
15:00

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Portadown Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Dungannon Swifts Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.48 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Portadown Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Portadown vs Carrick R… 0-3
Jan 17 Portadown vs Bangor 1-0
Jan 13 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 4-2
Dec 30 Portadown vs Glentoran 2-1
Dec 26 Portadown vs Glentoran 1-0
Dec 20 Portadown vs Dungannon… 4-2
Dec 13 Portadown vs Ballymena… 1-0
Dec 06 Portadown vs Crusaders… 0-4
Nov 29 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 2-3
Nov 22 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-2
Dungannon Swifts Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-2
Jan 24 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 5-1
Jan 17 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 2-0
Jan 10 Dungannon… vs Ards 3-0
Jan 03 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 2-0
Dec 30 Dungannon… vs Glenavon … 0-1
Dec 26 Dungannon… vs Bangor 1-0
Dec 20 Dungannon… vs Portadown 4-2
Dec 13 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 3-3
Dec 06 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portadown struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Dungannon Swifts struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 20, 2025 Dungannon Swifts 4 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Aug 16, 2025 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 4 Portadown Premiership
Mar 15, 2025 Portadown 1 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 19, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Sep 13, 2024 Portadown 2 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jul 18, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Portadown Friendlies Clu…
Apr 22, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 3 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Feb 24, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 02, 2023 Portadown 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 04, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 1 Portadown League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portadown to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portadown Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.