AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Feb 14, 2026

Southampton

Home
VS
15:00

Leicester

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Southampton Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Leicester Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Southampton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Southampt… vs AFC Fylde 0-0
Jan 31 Southampt… vs Stoke City 0-2
Jan 25 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 1-1
Jan 21 Southampt… vs Sheffield… 1-0
Jan 17 Southampt… vs Hull City 1-2
Jan 13 Southampt… vs Eastleigh 0-2
Jan 10 Southampt… vs Doncaster 2-3
Jan 04 Southampt… vs Middlesbr… 4-0
Jan 01 Southampt… vs Millwall 0-0
Dec 29 Southampt… vs Birmingham 1-1
Leicester Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Leicester vs Charlton 0-2
Jan 24 Leicester vs Oxford Un… 1-2
Jan 20 Leicester vs Wrexham 1-1
Jan 17 Leicester vs Coventry 2-1
Jan 10 Leicester vs Chelsea 0-2
Jan 05 Leicester vs West Brom 2-1
Jan 01 Leicester vs Sheffield… 3-1
Dec 29 Leicester vs Derby 2-1
Dec 26 Leicester vs Watford 1-2
Dec 20 Leicester vs QPR 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Leicester struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 25, 2025 Southampton 3 - 0 Leicester Championship
May 03, 2025 Leicester 2 - 0 Southampton Premier League
Oct 19, 2024 Southampton 2 - 3 Leicester Pro League
Oct 19, 2024 Southampton 2 - 3 Leicester Premier League
Apr 23, 2024 Leicester 5 - 0 Southampton Championship
Apr 23, 2024 Leicester 5 - 0 Southampton Pro League
Sep 15, 2023 Southampton 1 - 4 Leicester Championship
Mar 04, 2023 Southampton 1 - 0 Leicester Premier League
Aug 20, 2022 Leicester 1 - 2 Southampton Premier League
May 22, 2022 Leicester 4 - 1 Southampton Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Southampton to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southampton Power 36
Leicester Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.