AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Feb 08, 2026

HNK Rijeka

Home
VS
16:45

Dinamo Zagreb

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
HNK Rijeka Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Dinamo Zagreb Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.05 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HNK Rijeka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Dinamo Zagreb Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
HNK Rijeka Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek 1-0
Jan 24 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 2-2
Jan 20 HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 1-2
Dec 21 HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica 1-0
Dec 11 HNK Rijeka vs Celje 3-0
Dec 06 HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar 3-1
Dec 03 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Dec 03 HNK Rijeka vs Mladost Ž… 1-4
Nov 30 HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Nov 27 HNK Rijeka vs AEK Larna… 0-0
Dinamo Zagreb Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Dinamo Za… vs Vukovar 3-1
Jan 29 Dinamo Za… vs FC Midtjy… 0-0
Jan 25 Dinamo Za… vs NK Osijek 0-3
Jan 22 Dinamo Za… vs FCSB 4-1
Dec 20 Dinamo Za… vs NK Lokomo… 2-0
Dec 14 Dinamo Za… vs NK Slaven… 2-5
Dec 11 Dinamo Za… vs Real Betis 1-3
Dec 06 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Hajdu… 1-1
Dec 01 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Gorica 0-2
Nov 27 Dinamo Za… vs Lille 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • HNK Rijeka in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dinamo Zagreb in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 HNK Rijeka HNL
Aug 16, 2025 HNK Rijeka 0 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Apr 27, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Apr 12, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Feb 26, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1 HNK Rijeka Cup
Feb 22, 2025 HNK Rijeka 4 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Feb 02, 2025 HNK Rijeka 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Nov 23, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Oct 27, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 4 HNK Rijeka HNL
Sep 01, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HNK Rijeka Power 0
Dinamo Zagreb Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

HNK Rijeka Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Dinamo Zagreb Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.