AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Feb 06, 2026

NK Lokomotiva

Home
VS
17:00

HNK Gorica

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
NK Lokomotiva Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
HNK Gorica Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.14 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.7
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Lokomotiva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
HNK Gorica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
NK Lokomotiva Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 NK Lokomo… vs Istra 1961 1-1
Jan 24 NK Lokomo… vs Vukovar 2-1
Dec 20 NK Lokomo… vs Dinamo Za… 2-0
Dec 13 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Hajdu… 1-3
Dec 07 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 4-2
Nov 30 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
Nov 23 NK Lokomo… vs NK Osijek 1-1
Nov 08 NK Lokomo… vs NK Slaven… 1-1
Nov 03 NK Lokomo… vs HNK Gorica 4-1
Oct 29 NK Lokomo… vs NK Varažd… 4-0
HNK Gorica Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajdu… 1-0
Jan 26 HNK Gorica vs NK Varažd… 1-2
Dec 21 HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
Dec 13 HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek 1-1
Dec 05 HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven… 2-1
Dec 01 HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Za… 0-2
Nov 23 HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 1-0
Nov 07 HNK Gorica vs Vukovar 1-1
Nov 03 HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomo… 4-1
Oct 24 HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajdu… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • NK Lokomotiva struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2025 HNK Gorica 4 - 1 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Aug 16, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 3 HNK Gorica HNL
May 24, 2025 HNK Gorica 0 - 3 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Mar 28, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Jan 10, 2025 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica Friendlies Clu…
Dec 21, 2024 HNK Gorica 1 - 4 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Oct 05, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 HNK Gorica HNL
Jul 13, 2024 HNK Gorica 3 - 0 NK Lokomotiva Friendlies Clu…
Apr 06, 2024 NK Lokomotiva 1 - 1 HNK Gorica HNL
Jan 28, 2024 HNK Gorica 1 - 2 NK Lokomotiva HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NK Lokomotiva to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
NK Lokomotiva Power 0
HNK Gorica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

NK Lokomotiva Position

+1

Position Gap

8

HNK Gorica Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.