AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Feb 07, 2026

Vukovar

Home
VS
14:00

Istra 1961

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Vukovar Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Istra 1961 Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.58 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vukovar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Istra 1961 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Vukovar Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Vukovar vs Dinamo Za… 3-1
Jan 24 Vukovar vs NK Lokomo… 2-1
Dec 21 Vukovar vs HNK Hajdu… 2-1
Dec 12 Vukovar vs NK Varažd… 2-0
Dec 06 Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka 3-1
Nov 28 Vukovar vs NK Osijek 2-2
Nov 21 Vukovar vs NK Slaven… 4-1
Nov 07 Vukovar vs HNK Gorica 1-1
Nov 01 Vukovar vs Istra 1961 1-1
Oct 27 Vukovar vs Dinamo Za… 1-0
Istra 1961 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Jan 25 Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajdu… 1-2
Jan 20 Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka 1-2
Dec 19 Istra 1961 vs NK Varažd… 1-3
Dec 07 Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek 1-5
Nov 29 Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven… 1-1
Nov 23 Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica 1-0
Nov 09 Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Za… 2-1
Nov 01 Istra 1961 vs Vukovar 1-1
Oct 25 Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomo… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Istra 1961 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Vukovar struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2025 Istra 1961 1 - 1 Vukovar HNL
Aug 15, 2025 Vukovar 1 - 1 Istra 1961 HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vukovar Power 0
Istra 1961 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Vukovar Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Istra 1961 Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.