AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Feb 08, 2026

NK Varaždin

Home
VS
14:00

NK Osijek

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
NK Varaždin Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
NK Osijek Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 4.06 - 1.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 1.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Varaždin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
NK Osijek Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
NK Varaždin Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 NK Varažd… vs NK Slaven… 0-2
Jan 26 NK Varažd… vs HNK Gorica 1-2
Dec 19 NK Varažd… vs Istra 1961 1-3
Dec 12 NK Varažd… vs Vukovar 2-0
Dec 07 NK Varažd… vs NK Lokomo… 4-2
Dec 03 NK Varažd… vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
Nov 29 NK Varažd… vs HNK Hajdu… 1-1
Nov 22 NK Varažd… vs Dinamo Za… 3-1
Nov 15 NK Varažd… vs Dakovo-Cr… 2-1
Nov 09 NK Varažd… vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
NK Osijek Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 NK Osijek vs HNK Rijeka 1-0
Jan 25 NK Osijek vs Dinamo Za… 0-3
Dec 20 NK Osijek vs NK Slaven… 0-0
Dec 13 NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica 1-1
Dec 07 NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 1-5
Nov 28 NK Osijek vs Vukovar 2-2
Nov 23 NK Osijek vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Nov 08 NK Osijek vs HNK Hajdu… 2-0
Nov 02 NK Osijek vs NK Varažd… 0-0
Oct 27 NK Osijek vs HNK Rijeka 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 NK Osijek 0 - 0 NK Varaždin HNL
Aug 17, 2025 NK Varaždin 0 - 0 NK Osijek HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NK Varaždin to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
NK Varaždin Power 0
NK Osijek Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

NK Varaždin Position

+5

Position Gap

9

NK Osijek Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.