AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Feb 14, 2026

Kuressaare

Home
VS
12:30

Tallinna Kalev

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Kuressaare Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Tallinna Kalev Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.21 - 0.74
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kuressaare Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Tallinna Kalev Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Kuressaare Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 1-2
Nov 08 Kuressaare vs Tallinna … 2-1
Nov 01 Kuressaare vs FC Tallinn 2-0
Oct 25 Kuressaare vs Kalju Nõm… 0-1
Oct 21 Kuressaare vs Vaprus 0-1
Oct 18 Kuressaare vs FC Levadia 0-3
Oct 04 Kuressaare vs Paide 1-1
Sep 26 Kuressaare vs Tammeka 0-1
Sep 20 Kuressaare vs Transvaal 0-0
Sep 17 Kuressaare vs Laagri 2-1
Tallinna Kalev Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Tallinna … vs Viimsi 0-0
Nov 08 Tallinna … vs Kuressaare 2-1
Nov 02 Tallinna … vs Laagri 4-1
Oct 25 Tallinna … vs Tammeka 5-2
Oct 22 Tallinna … vs Kalju Nõm… 0-2
Oct 18 Tallinna … vs FC Tallinn 6-0
Oct 04 Tallinna … vs Transvaal 1-3
Sep 28 Tallinna … vs FC Levadia 3-1
Sep 21 Tallinna … vs Vaprus 1-0
Sep 17 Tallinna … vs Paide 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kuressaare struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Tallinna Kalev struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 2 - 1 Kuressaare Meistriliiga
Sep 14, 2025 Kuressaare 2 - 1 Tallinna Kalev Meistriliiga
May 10, 2025 Kuressaare 2 - 0 Tallinna Kalev Meistriliiga
Apr 05, 2025 Tallinna Kalev 4 - 1 Kuressaare Meistriliiga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kuressaare to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kuressaare Power 0
Tallinna Kalev Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.