AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Feb 11, 2026

San Jose Earthquakes

Home
VS
23:00

Portland Timbers

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
San Jose Earthquakes Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Portland Timbers Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.42 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Portland Timbers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
San Jose Earthquakes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 San Jose … vs Real Oruro 1-1
Oct 19 San Jose … vs Austin 2-1
Oct 05 San Jose … vs Vancouver… 4-1
Sep 28 San Jose … vs San Diego 0-1
Sep 21 San Jose … vs St. Louis… 1-3
Sep 14 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 2-4
Aug 31 San Jose … vs Austin 3-1
Aug 24 San Jose … vs Houston D… 1-2
Aug 17 San Jose … vs San Diego 1-2
Aug 10 San Jose … vs Vancouver… 2-1
Portland Timbers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Portland … vs San Diego 4-0
Nov 02 Portland … vs San Diego 2-2
Oct 27 Portland … vs San Diego 2-1
Oct 23 Portland … vs Real Salt… 3-1
Oct 19 Portland … vs San Diego 0-4
Oct 05 Portland … vs Seattle S… 1-0
Sep 28 Portland … vs FC Dallas 2-2
Sep 25 Portland … vs Vancouver… 1-1
Sep 21 Portland … vs Houston D… 1-0
Sep 14 Portland … vs New York … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portland Timbers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 14, 2025 Portland Timbers 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: San Jose Earthquakes to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
San Jose Earthquakes Power 0
Portland Timbers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.