AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Feb 08, 2026

Stenhousemuir

Home
VS
19:30

Falkirk

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Stenhousemuir Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Falkirk Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.77 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Stenhousemuir Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 2-2
Jan 27 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Jan 24 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Jan 17 Stenhouse… vs Morton 4-0
Jan 13 Stenhouse… vs Stirling … 1-2
Jan 10 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 5-0
Jan 03 Stenhouse… vs Queen of … 2-0
Dec 27 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Dec 20 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Dec 13 Stenhouse… vs Montrose 3-0
Falkirk Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Falkirk vs Livingston 1-2
Feb 01 Falkirk vs Celtic 2-0
Jan 24 Falkirk vs Hibernian 4-1
Jan 17 Falkirk vs Heart of … 1-1
Jan 14 Falkirk vs Celtic 0-1
Jan 10 Falkirk vs St. Mirren 0-2
Jan 03 Falkirk vs Aberdeen 1-0
Dec 27 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Dec 20 Falkirk vs Kilmarnock 0-1
Dec 13 Falkirk vs Heart of … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stenhousemuir in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2024 Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Falkirk Challenge Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stenhousemuir to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Falkirk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.