AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Feb 06, 2026

Airdrieonians

Home
VS
19:45

St. Mirren

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Airdrieonians Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
St. Mirren Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Airdrieonians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Airdrieonians Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Airdrieon… vs Arbroath 2-2
Jan 31 Airdrieon… vs Dunfermli… 0-2
Jan 24 Airdrieon… vs Ross Coun… 0-1
Jan 17 Airdrieon… vs Arbroath 2-2
Jan 10 Airdrieon… vs Ayr Utd 1-1
Jan 06 Airdrieon… vs Montrose 3-1
Jan 03 Airdrieon… vs Raith Rov… 0-0
Dec 27 Airdrieon… vs Arbroath 1-1
Dec 20 Airdrieon… vs Queen's P… 0-3
Dec 13 Airdrieon… vs Morton 0-1
St. Mirren Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 1-0
Jan 31 St. Mirren vs Dundee 0-0
Jan 20 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-1
Jan 17 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-1
Jan 14 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 2-0
Jan 10 St. Mirren vs Falkirk 0-2
Jan 03 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 2-0
Dec 30 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 2-1
Dec 27 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock 0-0
Dec 20 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 19, 2022 Airdrieonians 2 - 0 St. Mirren League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Airdrieonians to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Airdrieonians Power 0
St. Mirren Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.