AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 08, 2026

Guastatoya

Home
VS
01:00

Xelajú

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Guastatoya Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Xelajú Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.03 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guastatoya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Xelajú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Guastatoya Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Guastatoya vs Municipal 2-1
Jan 28 Guastatoya vs Aurora 2-2
Jan 25 Guastatoya vs Mictlán 0-0
Jan 23 Guastatoya vs Mixco 2-0
Nov 30 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 1-1
Nov 27 Guastatoya vs Municipal 3-0
Nov 23 Guastatoya vs Marquense 5-0
Nov 09 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 0-3
Nov 06 Guastatoya vs Mixco 1-0
Nov 02 Guastatoya vs Mictlán 2-3
Xelajú Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Xelajú vs Monterrey 1-1
Feb 01 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 2-0
Jan 29 Xelajú vs Municipal 1-0
Jan 26 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 1-1
Jan 21 Xelajú vs Aurora 4-0
Dec 12 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 2-0
Dec 09 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 1-0
Nov 30 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 0-1
Nov 27 Xelajú vs LD Alajue… 1-1
Nov 22 Xelajú vs Cobán Imp… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 Guastatoya 1 - 2 Xelajú Liga Nacional
Aug 18, 2025 Xelajú 5 - 0 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guastatoya Power 0
Xelajú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Guastatoya Position

-5

Position Gap

6

Xelajú Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.