AI Match Insights

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Capixaba Feb 05, 2025

Rio Branco-VN

Home
VS
23:00

Capixaba SC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Rio Branco-VN Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Capixaba SC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.26 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Capixaba SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Rio Branco-VN Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Rio Branc… vs Independê… 3-0
Jan 29 Rio Branc… vs XV de Jau 0-2
Jan 28 Rio Branc… vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Jan 26 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-2
Jan 26 Rio Branc… vs Rio Preto 1-1
Jan 25 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 0-0
Jan 25 Rio Branc… vs São Franc… 2-0
Jan 19 Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… 1-1
Aug 15 Rio Branc… vs Capixaba … 0-0
Jul 30 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Capixaba SC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Capixaba … vs Porto Vit… 1-0
Nov 24 Capixaba … vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
Nov 16 Capixaba … vs Vilavelhe… 4-2
Nov 12 Capixaba … vs Vilavelhe… 0-2
Oct 26 Capixaba … vs Castelo 3-2
Oct 20 Capixaba … vs Tupi 0-1
Oct 15 Capixaba … vs Desportiv… 0-2
Oct 08 Capixaba … vs GEL 4-0
Sep 27 Capixaba … vs Castelo 1-2
Sep 25 Capixaba … vs Tupi 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capixaba SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 15, 2024 Capixaba SC 0 - 0 Rio Branco-VN Copa Espírito …
Jun 30, 2024 Rio Branco-VN 0 - 1 Capixaba SC Copa Espírito …
Jun 22, 2024 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 0 Capixaba SC Copa Espírito …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Capixaba SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Rio Branco-VN Position

-2

Position Gap

8

Capixaba SC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.