AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 08, 2026

Platense

Home
VS
20:00

Independiente

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Platense Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Independiente Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.45 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Platense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Independiente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Platense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Platense vs Argentino… 1-0
Feb 01 Platense vs Talleres … 1-2
Jan 26 Platense vs Instituto… 2-1
Jan 22 Platense vs Unión San… 0-0
Dec 20 Platense vs Estudiant… 2-1
Nov 17 Platense vs Gimnasia … 0-3
Nov 16 Platense vs San Martí… 3-1
Nov 08 Platense vs Talleres … 1-0
Nov 08 Platense vs San Martí… 0-1
Nov 03 Platense vs Sarmiento… 1-1
Independiente Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Independi… vs Vélez Sar… 1-1
Jan 28 Independi… vs Newell’s … 1-1
Jan 23 Independi… vs Estudiant… 1-1
Nov 16 Independi… vs Rosario C… 1-0
Nov 10 Independi… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Nov 01 Independi… vs Atlético … 3-0
Oct 24 Independi… vs Platense 3-0
Oct 19 Independi… vs San Martí… 1-0
Oct 13 Independi… vs Lanús 0-2
Oct 05 Independi… vs Godoy Cruz 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Platense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2025 Independiente 3 - 0 Platense Liga Profesion…
Feb 17, 2025 Platense 1 - 1 Independiente Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Platense Power 0
Independiente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Platense Position

-9

Position Gap

8

Independiente Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.