AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 07, 2026

River Plate

Home
VS
23:00

Tigre

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Tigre Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.92 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Tigre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
River Plate Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-0
Jan 28 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 2-0
Jan 24 River Pla… vs Barracas … 0-1
Jan 18 River Pla… vs Peñarol M… 0-0
Jan 18 River Pla… vs Peñarol M… 0-0
Jan 12 River Pla… vs Millonari… 1-0
Nov 24 River Pla… vs Racing Cl… 3-2
Nov 16 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 0-0
Nov 09 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 2-0
Nov 02 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 0-1
Tigre Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 3-1
Jan 29 Tigre vs Belgrano … 1-1
Jan 26 Tigre vs Estudiant… 2-0
Dec 02 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 0-0
Nov 27 Tigre vs LanĂşs 0-1
Nov 16 Tigre vs Boca Juni… 2-0
Nov 10 Tigre vs Estudiant… 1-0
Nov 04 Tigre vs Belgrano … 0-0
Oct 20 Tigre vs Barracas … 2-2
Oct 10 Tigre vs Newell’s … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigre in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 02, 2024 River Plate 3 - 1 Tigre Liga Profesion…
Feb 18, 2023 Tigre 0 - 1 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Aug 27, 2022 Tigre 1 - 1 River Plate Liga Profesion…
May 12, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Tigre Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

MASTER: River Plate to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
River Plate Power 0
Tigre Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

River Plate Position

+17

Position Gap

19

Tigre Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.