AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 07, 2026

FC Aarau

Home
VS
17:00

FC WIL 1900

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FC WIL 1900 Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.74
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
FC WIL 1900 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
FC Aarau Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 1-2
Jan 24 FC Aarau vs Bellinzona 1-0
Jan 10 FC Aarau vs FK Crvena… 4-1
Jan 06 FC Aarau vs Dynamo Dr… 3-2
Dec 19 FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz 3-2
Dec 12 FC Aarau vs Étoile Ca… 2-1
Dec 07 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 1-2
Dec 04 FC Aarau vs FC Sion 1-3
Nov 28 FC Aarau vs Neuchâtel… 1-2
Nov 22 FC Aarau vs Stade Nyo… 0-1
FC WIL 1900 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Nyo… 0-0
Jan 23 FC WIL 19… vs FC Vaduz 3-1
Dec 20 FC WIL 19… vs Bellinzona 0-2
Dec 14 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Nyo… 1-0
Dec 05 FC WIL 19… vs Étoile Ca… 0-0
Nov 29 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Lau… 0-0
Nov 21 FC WIL 19… vs Yverdon S… 2-4
Nov 07 FC WIL 19… vs Rapperswil 1-2
Nov 02 FC WIL 19… vs Neuchâtel… 2-1
Oct 24 FC WIL 19… vs FC Aarau 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2025 FC Aarau 2 - 0 FC WIL 1900 Challenge Leag…
Aug 01, 2025 FC WIL 1900 1 - 3 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
May 09, 2025 FC Aarau 2 - 4 FC WIL 1900 Challenge Leag…
May 17, 2024 FC Aarau 0 - 4 FC WIL 1900 Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
FC WIL 1900 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+6

Position Gap

8

FC WIL 1900 Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.