AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 06, 2026

FC Vaduz

Home
VS
19:15

Étoile Carouge

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
FC Vaduz Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Étoile Carouge Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) ODDS60+M70 (77.4%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 64%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 29%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
xG: 4.31 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.6 Position gap: 8 places Market confidence: 62% Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Vaduz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Étoile Carouge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
FC Vaduz Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 FC Vaduz vs Stade Lau… 5-2
Jan 23 FC Vaduz vs FC WIL 19… 3-1
Dec 19 FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau 3-2
Dec 12 FC Vaduz vs Rapperswil 0-4
Dec 05 FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel… 1-0
Nov 28 FC Vaduz vs Stade Nyo… 0-1
Nov 21 FC Vaduz vs Bellinzona 0-1
Nov 09 FC Vaduz vs Stade Lau… 3-2
Oct 31 FC Vaduz vs Yverdon S… 3-4
Oct 26 FC Vaduz vs Étoile Ca… 3-1
Étoile Carouge Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 2-1
Jan 23 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 2-2
Dec 19 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Lau… 1-2
Dec 12 Étoile Ca… vs FC Aarau 2-1
Dec 05 Étoile Ca… vs FC WIL 19… 0-0
Nov 30 Étoile Ca… vs Yverdon S… 2-0
Nov 21 Étoile Ca… vs Rapperswil 0-2
Nov 07 Étoile Ca… vs Stade Nyo… 0-0
Oct 31 Étoile Ca… vs Bellinzona 2-0
Oct 26 Étoile Ca… vs FC Vaduz 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Vaduz in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 FC Vaduz 3 - 1 Étoile Carouge Challenge Leag…
Aug 03, 2025 Étoile Carouge 1 - 1 FC Vaduz Challenge Leag…
Apr 27, 2025 FC Vaduz 1 - 0 Étoile Carouge Challenge Leag…
Mar 02, 2025 Étoile Carouge 3 - 2 FC Vaduz Challenge Leag…
Dec 14, 2024 FC Vaduz 3 - 2 Étoile Carouge Challenge Leag…
Sep 24, 2024 Étoile Carouge 1 - 0 FC Vaduz Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Vaduz to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Vaduz Power 0
Étoile Carouge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Vaduz Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Étoile Carouge Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.