AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 06, 2026

Stade Nyonnais

Home
VS
18:30

Bellinzona

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Stade Nyonnais Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bellinzona Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Nyonnais Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Bellinzona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (27%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Stade Nyonnais Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Stade Nyo… vs FC WIL 19… 0-0
Jan 23 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 2-2
Dec 19 Stade Nyo… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Dec 14 Stade Nyo… vs FC WIL 19… 1-0
Dec 06 Stade Nyo… vs Bellinzona 2-0
Dec 02 Stade Nyo… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Nov 28 Stade Nyo… vs FC Vaduz 0-1
Nov 22 Stade Nyo… vs FC Aarau 0-1
Nov 07 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 0-0
Nov 01 Stade Nyo… vs Stade Lau… 3-3
Bellinzona Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel… 5-0
Jan 24 Bellinzona vs FC Aarau 1-0
Dec 20 Bellinzona vs FC WIL 19… 0-2
Dec 14 Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel… 1-0
Dec 06 Bellinzona vs Stade Nyo… 2-0
Nov 28 Bellinzona vs Rapperswil 2-1
Nov 21 Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz 0-1
Nov 08 Bellinzona vs FC Aarau 5-1
Oct 31 Bellinzona vs Étoile Ca… 2-0
Oct 25 Bellinzona vs Stade Lau… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bellinzona struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2025 Bellinzona 2 - 0 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Aug 29, 2025 Stade Nyonnais 3 - 1 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Apr 18, 2025 Bellinzona 2 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Mar 28, 2025 Stade Nyonnais 3 - 0 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Nov 30, 2024 Bellinzona 1 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Jul 26, 2024 Stade Nyonnais 2 - 1 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
May 09, 2024 Stade Nyonnais 1 - 3 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Mar 09, 2024 Bellinzona 0 - 2 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Oct 27, 2023 Stade Nyonnais 2 - 3 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Oct 01, 2023 Bellinzona 1 - 0 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Nyonnais Power 0
Bellinzona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Stade Nyonnais Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Bellinzona Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.