AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Jan 30, 2026

Yverdon Sport

Home
VS
19:15

FC Aarau

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Yverdon Sport Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
FC Aarau Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 40%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
Asian Handicap: Level (0)
xG: 4.50 - 1.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.4 Asian Handicap: Level (0)
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Yverdon Sport Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 1-2
Dec 21 Yverdon S… vs Rapperswil 1-0
Dec 13 Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… 4-0
Dec 07 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 1-2
Dec 03 Yverdon S… vs Lausanne 2-1
Nov 30 Yverdon S… vs Étoile Ca… 2-0
Nov 21 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 2-4
Nov 07 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 2-2
Oct 31 Yverdon S… vs FC Vaduz 3-4
Oct 24 Yverdon S… vs Stade Nyo… 2-2
FC Aarau Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 FC Aarau vs Bellinzona 1-0
Jan 10 FC Aarau vs FK Crvena… 4-1
Jan 06 FC Aarau vs Dynamo Dr… 3-2
Dec 19 FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz 3-2
Dec 12 FC Aarau vs Étoile Ca… 2-1
Dec 07 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 1-2
Dec 04 FC Aarau vs FC Sion 1-3
Nov 28 FC Aarau vs Neuchâtel… 1-2
Nov 22 FC Aarau vs Stade Nyo… 0-1
Nov 08 FC Aarau vs Bellinzona 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Yverdon Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2025 Yverdon Sport 1 - 2 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Oct 03, 2025 FC Aarau 1 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
May 23, 2023 Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Feb 10, 2023 FC Aarau 1 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Nov 04, 2022 FC Aarau 3 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Sep 30, 2022 Yverdon Sport 2 - 2 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
May 06, 2022 Yverdon Sport 0 - 4 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Mar 19, 2022 FC Aarau 0 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Nov 06, 2021 FC Aarau 1 - 0 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Yverdon Sport to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Yverdon Sport Power 0
FC Aarau Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Yverdon Sport Position

-1

Position Gap

2

FC Aarau Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.