AI Match Insights

FA WSL Feb 15, 2026

Chelsea Women

Home
VS
12:00

Liverpool Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Liverpool Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Chelsea Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 2-0
Jan 24 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 0-2
Jan 21 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Jan 17 Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… 5-0
Jan 11 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 5-0
Dec 21 Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… 1-9
Dec 17 Chelsea W… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-0
Dec 14 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 0-3
Dec 10 Chelsea W… vs Roma Women 6-0
Dec 07 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 0-1
Liverpool Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 3-1
Jan 25 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 2-0
Jan 11 Liverpool… vs London Ci… 0-0
Dec 21 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 1-9
Dec 14 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 2-2
Dec 11 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 3-0
Dec 06 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 2-1
Nov 22 Liverpool… vs Sheffield… 1-4
Nov 16 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 1-1
Nov 09 Liverpool… vs Brighton … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chelsea Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2025 Liverpool Women 1 - 9 Chelsea Women WSL Cup
Nov 16, 2025 Liverpool Women 1 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
May 10, 2025 Chelsea Women 1 - 0 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Apr 12, 2025 Chelsea Women 2 - 1 Liverpool Women FA Women's Cup
Nov 10, 2024 Liverpool Women 0 - 3 Chelsea Women FA WSL
May 01, 2024 Liverpool Women 4 - 3 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Nov 18, 2023 Chelsea Women 5 - 1 Liverpool Women FA WSL
May 03, 2023 Chelsea Women 2 - 1 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Jan 29, 2023 Chelsea Women 3 - 2 Liverpool Women FA Women's Cup
Sep 18, 2022 Liverpool Women 2 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

PRO: Chelsea Women to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power 44
Liverpool Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Chelsea Women Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Liverpool Women Position

Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.