AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CAF Champions League Feb 08, 2026

Stade Malien Bamako

Home
VS
16:00

ES Tunis

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Stade Malien Bamako Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
ES Tunis Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.70 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Malien Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
ES Tunis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Stade Malien Bamako Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stade Mal… vs Petro de … 0-0
Jan 25 Stade Mal… vs Petro de … 2-0
Jan 17 Stade Mal… vs Mali Coura 0-2
Jan 10 Stade Mal… vs Bougouni 0-0
Jan 04 Stade Mal… vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Dec 27 Stade Mal… vs Derby Aca… 3-0
Dec 21 Stade Mal… vs US Bougou… 0-1
Dec 17 Stade Mal… vs ASKO 0-2
Dec 14 Stade Mal… vs Djoliba AC 1-0
Dec 10 Stade Mal… vs Réal Bama… 1-1
ES Tunis Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 ES Tunis vs Simba 2-2
Jan 27 ES Tunis vs JS Kairou… 1-0
Jan 24 ES Tunis vs Simba 1-0
Jan 19 ES Tunis vs US Monast… 2-1
Jan 15 ES Tunis vs AS Gabes 2-1
Jan 10 ES Tunis vs US Ben Gu… 4-0
Nov 29 ES Tunis vs Petro de … 1-1
Nov 22 ES Tunis vs Stade Mal… 0-0
Nov 09 ES Tunis vs Club Afri… 0-0
Nov 06 ES Tunis vs Jeunesse … 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • ES Tunis in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 ES Tunis 0 - 0 Stade Malien Bamako CAF Champions …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stade Malien Bamako to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Malien Bamako Power 0
ES Tunis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Stade Malien Bamako Position

+1

Position Gap

2

ES Tunis Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.