AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Apr 19, 2025

Mukura

Home
VS
13:00

Kiyovu Sports

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Mukura Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Kiyovu Sports Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.28 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mukura Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Kiyovu Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Mukura Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Mukura vs Rutsiro 0-0
Mar 29 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Mar 01 Mukura vs Marines 3-1
Feb 15 Mukura vs Etincelles 2-0
Jan 11 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-1
Dec 21 Mukura vs Bugesera 0-0
Dec 07 Mukura vs Amagaju 1-0
Nov 30 Mukura vs Marines 1-1
Nov 24 Mukura vs Rutsiro 3-0
Sep 15 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Kiyovu Sports Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Kiyovu Sp… vs Etincelles 0-2
Mar 29 Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura 0-1
Mar 15 Kiyovu Sp… vs AS Kigali 2-1
Mar 07 Kiyovu Sp… vs Marines 2-1
Mar 01 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla 3-1
Feb 24 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
Feb 09 Kiyovu Sp… vs Musanze 2-2
Jan 11 Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura 2-1
Dec 15 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla 1-1
Dec 14 Kiyovu Sp… vs AS Kigali 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kiyovu Sports in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 Kiyovu Sports 0 - 1 Mukura National Socce…
Jan 11, 2025 Mukura 2 - 1 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Sep 15, 2024 Kiyovu Sports 0 - 1 Mukura National Socce…
Apr 25, 2024 Kiyovu Sports 1 - 1 Mukura National Socce…
Mar 30, 2024 Mukura 0 - 1 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Dec 06, 2023 Mukura 4 - 1 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Nov 04, 2023 Kiyovu Sports 4 - 1 Mukura National Socce…
Apr 29, 2023 Kiyovu Sports 1 - 1 Mukura National Socce…
Jan 28, 2023 Mukura 1 - 1 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Nov 20, 2022 Kiyovu Sports 2 - 2 Mukura National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mukura Power 0
Kiyovu Sports Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Mukura Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Kiyovu Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.