AI Match Insights
National Soccer League Dec 06, 2023
Mukura
HomeVS
13:00
Kiyovu Sports
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mukura Win
Draw
Kiyovu Sports Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Combined: 48%
Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.12 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mukura Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Kiyovu Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (26%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
84%
Mukura Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 04 | Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… | 4-1 |
| Oct 28 | Mukura vs Etincelles | 1-0 |
| Oct 21 | Mukura vs Bugesera | 2-1 |
| Aug 26 | Mukura vs Marines | 1-0 |
| Aug 20 | Mukura vs Amagaju | 1-1 |
| May 06 | Mukura vs Etincelles | 3-1 |
| Apr 29 | Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… | 1-1 |
| Apr 16 | Mukura vs Marines | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Mukura vs Bugesera | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Mukura vs Rutsiro | 1-1 |
Kiyovu Sports Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 01 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Bugesera | 1-0 |
| Nov 04 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura | 4-1 |
| Oct 15 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Musanze | 1-0 |
| Oct 14 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Marines | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Amagaju | 1-1 |
| Oct 02 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla | 1-0 |
| Sep 15 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Gasogi Un… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla | 0-0 |
| May 28 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Rutsiro | 3-1 |
| May 07 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla | 1-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Mukura in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Kiyovu Sports in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 04, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports | 4 - 1 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports | 1 - 1 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Mukura | 1 - 1 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports | 2 - 2 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Mukura | 0 - 1 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports | 1 - 0 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Mukura | 1 - 0 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Mukura | 1 - 2 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Kiyovu Sports | 1 - 0 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| May 27, 2021 | Kiyovu Sports | 3 - 0 | Mukura | National Socce… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Mukura Power
0
Kiyovu Sports Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Mukura Position+3
Position Gap8
Kiyovu Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.