AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Apr 29, 2023

Kiyovu Sports

Home
VS
13:00

Mukura

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Kiyovu Sports Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Mukura Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.19 - 1.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.8
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kiyovu Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Mukura Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Kiyovu Sports Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla 2-1
Apr 16 Kiyovu Sp… vs Bugesera 0-2
Mar 12 Kiyovu Sp… vs Etincelles 1-2
Mar 12 Kiyovu Sp… vs AS Kigali 1-1
Feb 18 Kiyovu Sp… vs Marines 3-1
Jan 28 Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura 1-1
Jan 24 Kiyovu Sp… vs Musanze 4-1
Jan 20 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gasogi Un… 0-0
Dec 23 Kiyovu Sp… vs Marines 0-1
Dec 07 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla 0-1
Mukura Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Mukura vs Marines 0-1
Mar 04 Mukura vs Bugesera 0-1
Feb 04 Mukura vs Rutsiro 1-1
Jan 28 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Dec 11 Mukura vs Bugesera 0-1
Dec 02 Mukura vs Marines 0-6
Nov 20 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-2
Nov 12 Mukura vs Rutsiro 3-0
Oct 30 Mukura vs Etincelles 2-1
Oct 23 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kiyovu Sports in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2023 Mukura 1 - 1 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Nov 20, 2022 Kiyovu Sports 2 - 2 Mukura National Socce…
Oct 23, 2022 Mukura 0 - 1 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Apr 24, 2022 Kiyovu Sports 1 - 0 Mukura National Socce…
Feb 12, 2022 Mukura 1 - 0 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 Mukura 1 - 2 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Oct 30, 2021 Kiyovu Sports 1 - 0 Mukura National Socce…
May 27, 2021 Kiyovu Sports 3 - 0 Mukura National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kiyovu Sports Power 0
Mukura Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Kiyovu Sports Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Mukura Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.