AI Match Insights
Super League Jan 25, 2025
FC Winterthur
HomeVS
19:30
FC Lugano
AwayAI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
FC Winterthur Win
Draw
FC Lugano Win
Away Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
Combined: 33%
Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.23 - 2.83
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Winterthur Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%)
1-3 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
0-3 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
FC Winterthur Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18 | FC Winter… vs BSC Young… | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | FC Winter… vs FC Luzern | 1-5 |
| Dec 14 | FC Winter… vs FC Luzern | 3-4 |
| Dec 05 | FC Winter… vs Lausanne | 0-3 |
| Dec 01 | FC Winter… vs FC Sion | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | FC Winter… vs Lausanne | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | FC Winter… vs FC Basel … | 5-0 |
| Oct 30 | FC Winter… vs FC St. Ga… | 2-2 |
| Oct 26 | FC Winter… vs FC Basel … | 1-6 |
| Oct 20 | FC Winter… vs Lausanne | 2-0 |
FC Lugano Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19 | FC Lugano vs FC Basel … | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | FC Lugano vs FC Koln | 3-3 |
| Dec 15 | FC Lugano vs Lausanne | 1-4 |
| Dec 07 | FC Lugano vs FC Luzern | 1-4 |
| Dec 04 | FC Lugano vs Yverdon S… | 0-2 |
| Dec 01 | FC Lugano vs Servette … | 3-0 |
| Nov 24 | FC Lugano vs FC Zurich | 4-1 |
| Nov 10 | FC Lugano vs BSC Young… | 2-1 |
| Oct 31 | FC Lugano vs Grasshopp… | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | FC Lugano vs BSC Young… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Winterthur struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | FC Winterthur | Super League |
| May 16, 2024 | FC Lugano | 4 - 2 | FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Apr 06, 2024 | FC Winterthur | 2 - 2 | FC Lugano | Super League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | FC Winterthur | 2 - 3 | FC Lugano | Super League |
| May 14, 2023 | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Feb 05, 2023 | FC Winterthur | 1 - 0 | FC Lugano | Super League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FC Winterthur Power
0
FC Lugano Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
12
FC Winterthur Position-10
Position Gap2
FC Lugano Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.