AI Match Insights
Super League Sep 29, 2024
FC Lugano
HomeVS
14:30
FC Winterthur
AwayAI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
FC Lugano Win
Draw
FC Winterthur Win
Home Win
(65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 67%
Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Lugano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Winterthur Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (2%)
3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
FC Lugano Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | FC Lugano vs FC Sion | 0-0 |
| Sep 18 | FC Lugano vs Lausanne | 1-2 |
| Sep 14 | FC Lugano vs Rapperswil | 1-3 |
| Sep 01 | FC Lugano vs FC St. Ga… | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | FC Lugano vs BrĂĽhl | 1-7 |
| Aug 11 | FC Lugano vs FC Luzern | 2-3 |
| Aug 03 | FC Lugano vs Servette … | 3-1 |
| Jul 27 | FC Lugano vs FC Basel … | 1-2 |
| Jul 20 | FC Lugano vs Grasshopp… | 2-1 |
| Jun 02 | FC Lugano vs Servette … | 0-0 |
FC Winterthur Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | FC Winter… vs BSC Young… | 1-4 |
| Sep 14 | FC Winter… vs FC WIL 19… | 2-2 |
| Sep 05 | FC Winter… vs FC Thun | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | FC Winter… vs FC Luzern | 3-0 |
| Aug 10 | FC Winter… vs FC Sion | 2-0 |
| Jul 28 | FC Winter… vs FC Zurich | 4-2 |
| Jul 20 | FC Winter… vs FC St. Ga… | 1-0 |
| May 25 | FC Winter… vs BSC Young… | 3-0 |
| May 20 | FC Winter… vs FC St. Ga… | 1-3 |
| May 16 | FC Winter… vs FC Lugano | 4-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Lugano in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- FC Winterthur struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2024 | FC Lugano | 4 - 2 | FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Apr 06, 2024 | FC Winterthur | 2 - 2 | FC Lugano | Super League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | FC Winterthur | 2 - 3 | FC Lugano | Super League |
| May 14, 2023 | FC Lugano | 2 - 1 | FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Feb 05, 2023 | FC Winterthur | 1 - 0 | FC Lugano | Super League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Lugano to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FC Lugano Power
0
FC Winterthur Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
FC Lugano Position+10
Position Gap12
FC Winterthur Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.