AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1a DivisiĂł Mar 01, 2025

Ranger's

Home
VS
19:30

Penya Encarnada

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Ranger's Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Penya Encarnada Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 3.26 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ranger's Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Penya Encarnada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Ranger's Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Ranger's vs FC Santa … 1-0
Feb 09 Ranger's vs Ordino 2-1
Jan 19 Ranger's vs FC Santa … 1-1
Dec 15 Ranger's vs Pas de la… 0-1
Dec 08 Ranger's vs Penya Enc… 0-0
Dec 01 Ranger's vs Inter Clu… 0-0
Nov 02 Ranger's vs Penya Enc… 0-6
Oct 27 Ranger's vs Inter Clu… 2-2
Oct 20 Ranger's vs Pas de la… 0-0
Oct 06 Ranger's vs FC Santa … 0-1
Penya Encarnada Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Penya Enc… vs Pas de la… 1-0
Feb 16 Penya Enc… vs Esperança… 1-2
Feb 09 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 1-1
Jan 19 Penya Enc… vs Ordino 0-1
Jan 12 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 6-0
Dec 15 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 6-1
Dec 08 Penya Enc… vs Ranger's 0-0
Nov 23 Penya Enc… vs Pas de la… 1-0
Nov 09 Penya Enc… vs Inter Clu… 5-1
Nov 02 Penya Enc… vs Ranger's 0-6
Key Analysis Factors
  • Penya Encarnada in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2024 Penya Encarnada 0 - 0 Ranger's 1a DivisiĂł
Nov 02, 2024 Penya Encarnada 0 - 6 Ranger's 1a DivisiĂł
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ranger's to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ranger's Power 0
Penya Encarnada Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ranger's Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Penya Encarnada Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.