AI Match Insights
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 23, 2025
Costa Rica
HomeVS
20:00
Dourados Atlético
AwayAI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Costa Rica Win
Draw
Dourados Atlético Win
Away Win
(40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
Combined: 44%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.54 - 0.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Dourados Atlético Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (45%)
1-0 (25%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
95%
Costa Rica Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15 | Costa Rica vs Operário … | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Costa Rica vs Portugues… | 1-1 |
| Mar 24 | Costa Rica vs Dourados … | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Costa Rica vs Dourados … | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Costa Rica vs Portugues… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Costa Rica vs Portugues… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Costa Rica vs Ivinhema | 0-1 |
| Apr 08 | Costa Rica vs Ivinhema | 0-1 |
| Apr 10 | Costa Rica vs Dourados … | 1-5 |
| Mar 24 | Costa Rica vs Dourados … | 1-0 |
Dourados Atlético Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15 | Dourados … vs Jataiense | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Dourados … vs Tombense | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Dourados … vs Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Dourados … vs Águia Neg… | 3-0 |
| Jan 19 | Dourados … vs Portugues… | 1-1 |
| Mar 24 | Dourados … vs Costa Rica | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Dourados … vs Costa Rica | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Dourados … vs Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Dourados … vs Ivinhema | 1-2 |
| Apr 10 | Dourados … vs Costa Rica | 1-5 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Dourados Atlético in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | Dourados Atlético | 1 - 1 | Costa Rica | Sul-Matogrosse… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Costa Rica | 0 - 0 | Dourados Atlético | Sul-Matogrosse… |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Dourados Atlético | 1 - 5 | Costa Rica | Sul-Matogrosse… |
| Mar 24, 2022 | Costa Rica | 1 - 0 | Dourados Atlético | Sul-Matogrosse… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Costa Rica Power
0
Dourados Atlético Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Costa Rica Position+1
Position Gap6
Dourados Atlético Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.