AI Match Insights

Sul-Matogrossense Feb 23, 2025

Costa Rica

Home
VS
20:00

Dourados Atlético

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Costa Rica Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Dourados Atlético Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.54 - 0.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Dourados Atlético Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (45%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 95%
Costa Rica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Costa Rica vs Operário … 1-0
Feb 09 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 1-1
Mar 24 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-1
Mar 17 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 0-0
Feb 24 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 0-0
Jan 28 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 2-0
Apr 16 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 0-1
Apr 08 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 0-1
Apr 10 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-5
Mar 24 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-0
Dourados Atlético Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Dourados … vs Jataiense 2-0
Feb 08 Dourados … vs Tombense 0-1
Feb 02 Dourados … vs Ivinhema 1-0
Jan 26 Dourados … vs Águia Neg… 3-0
Jan 19 Dourados … vs Portugues… 1-1
Mar 24 Dourados … vs Costa Rica 1-1
Mar 17 Dourados … vs Costa Rica 0-0
Mar 09 Dourados … vs Ivinhema 1-0
Feb 10 Dourados … vs Ivinhema 1-2
Apr 10 Dourados … vs Costa Rica 1-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dourados Atlético in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 24, 2024 Dourados Atlético 1 - 1 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 17, 2024 Costa Rica 0 - 0 Dourados Atlético Sul-Matogrosse…
Apr 10, 2022 Dourados Atlético 1 - 5 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 24, 2022 Costa Rica 1 - 0 Dourados Atlético Sul-Matogrosse…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Costa Rica Power 0
Dourados Atlético Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Costa Rica Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Dourados Atlético Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.