AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 15, 2025

Operário Ferroviário

Home
VS
20:00

Costa Rica

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Operário Ferroviário Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Costa Rica Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 37%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.47 - 1.35
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Operário Ferroviário Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (22%) 0-0 (16%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Operário Ferroviário Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Operário … vs Jataiense 1-1
Feb 06 Operário … vs Tombense 2-1
Jan 26 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-4
Jan 18 Operário … vs Águia Neg… 2-0
Apr 07 Operário … vs Portugues… 0-0
Mar 31 Operário … vs Portugues… 2-3
Mar 24 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-1
Mar 17 Operário … vs Ivinhema 0-1
Mar 09 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-0
Feb 10 Operário … vs Portugues… 1-1
Costa Rica Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 1-1
Mar 24 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-1
Mar 17 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 0-0
Feb 24 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 0-0
Jan 28 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 2-0
Apr 16 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 0-1
Apr 08 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 0-1
Apr 10 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-5
Mar 24 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Operário Ferroviário to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Operário Ferroviário Power 0
Costa Rica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Operário Ferroviário Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Costa Rica Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.