AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Apr 13, 2025

AEK Larnaca

Home
VS
16:00

Pafos FC

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
AEK Larnaca Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Pafos FC Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 0.74 - 1.25
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Larnaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
AEK Larnaca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 1-1
Mar 16 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 1-1
Mar 09 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ar… 2-0
Feb 14 AEK Larna… vs Enosis 4-1
Feb 09 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 1-1
Feb 02 AEK Larna… vs AEL 2-0
Jan 29 AEK Larna… vs Enosis 0-3
Jan 25 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 2-2
Jan 08 AEK Larna… vs Ethnikos … 2-2
Jan 03 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 0-3
Pafos FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 0-1
Apr 02 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 0-1
Mar 16 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-2
Mar 09 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 0-0
Feb 24 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 0-2
Feb 16 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-0
Feb 08 Pafos FC vs Omonia Ar… 0-2
Jan 30 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 1-1
Jan 19 Pafos FC vs Enosis 2-0
Jan 15 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 22, 2024 Pafos FC 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca First Division
Sep 01, 2024 AEK Larnaca 0 - 2 Pafos FC First Division
Apr 06, 2024 AEK Larnaca 3 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Feb 25, 2024 Pafos FC 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca First Division
Jan 22, 2024 AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AEK Larnaca to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Larnaca Power 0
Pafos FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Larnaca Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Pafos FC Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.