AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Sep 01, 2024

AEK Larnaca

Home
VS
15:30

Pafos FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
AEK Larnaca Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Pafos FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.53 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Larnaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
AEK Larnaca Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 AEK Larna… vs AEL 1-1
Apr 28 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 1-1
Apr 21 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 2-0
Apr 14 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 0-1
Apr 06 AEK Larna… vs Pafos FC 3-0
Mar 17 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 0-1
Mar 09 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 0-1
Mar 04 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 1-1
Feb 25 AEK Larna… vs Pafos FC 0-1
Feb 17 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 1-0
Pafos FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
Apr 21 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 5-1
Apr 17 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-1
Apr 14 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 0-2
Apr 10 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 2-1
Apr 06 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 3-0
Mar 16 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-0
Mar 10 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 2-3
Mar 03 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 1-0
Feb 25 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Larnaca in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2024 AEK Larnaca 3 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Feb 25, 2024 Pafos FC 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca First Division
Jan 22, 2024 AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AEK Larnaca to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Larnaca Power 0
Pafos FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Larnaca Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Pafos FC Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.