AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Apr 06, 2024

AEK Larnaca

Home
VS
16:30

Pafos FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
AEK Larnaca Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Pafos FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.58 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Larnaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
AEK Larnaca Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 0-1
Mar 09 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 0-1
Mar 04 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 1-1
Feb 25 AEK Larna… vs Pafos FC 0-1
Feb 17 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 1-0
Feb 14 AEK Larna… vs AEL 2-3
Jan 22 AEK Larna… vs Pafos FC 1-0
Dec 16 AEK Larna… vs Ethnikos … 0-3
Dec 09 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 2-1
Dec 02 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 0-0
Pafos FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-0
Mar 10 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 2-3
Mar 03 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 1-0
Feb 25 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 0-1
Feb 10 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 4-3
Feb 04 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 2-2
Jan 31 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-1
Jan 22 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 1-0
Jan 18 Pafos FC vs Olympiako… 0-1
Jan 03 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Larnaca in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 25, 2024 Pafos FC 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca First Division
Jan 22, 2024 AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AEK Larnaca to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Larnaca Power 0
Pafos FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Larnaca Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Pafos FC Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.