AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Feb 25, 2024

Pafos FC

Home
VS
17:00

AEK Larnaca

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Pafos FC Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
AEK Larnaca Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.58 - 1.17
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
AEK Larnaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Pafos FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 4-3
Feb 04 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 2-2
Jan 31 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-1
Jan 22 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 1-0
Jan 18 Pafos FC vs Olympiako… 0-1
Jan 03 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-0
Dec 17 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 0-1
Nov 11 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 1-4
Sep 17 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
May 01 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 2-1
AEK Larnaca Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 1-0
Feb 14 AEK Larna… vs AEL 2-3
Jan 22 AEK Larna… vs Pafos FC 1-0
Dec 16 AEK Larna… vs Ethnikos … 0-3
Dec 09 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 2-1
Dec 02 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 0-0
Nov 27 AEK Larna… vs AEL 3-0
Aug 28 AEK Larna… vs Ethnikos … 5-5
Aug 21 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 2-0
May 06 AEK Larna… vs Paris FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Larnaca in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 22, 2024 AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pafos FC Power 0
AEK Larnaca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Pafos FC Position

-1

Position Gap

2

AEK Larnaca Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.