AI Match Insights

Paulista - A1 Mar 02, 2025

Santos

Home
VS
23:45

RB Bragantino

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Santos Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
RB Bragantino Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 3.07 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.1
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Santos vs Guaraní d… 2-1
Feb 16 Santos vs Água Santa 3-1
Feb 16 Santos vs Remo 1-0
Feb 13 Santos vs Corinthia… 2-1
Feb 09 Santos vs Novorizon… 0-0
Feb 08 Santos vs Castanhal 1-1
Feb 01 Santos vs São Paulo… 3-1
Jan 31 Santos vs Fluminense 0-0
Jan 23 Santos vs Palmeiras 1-2
Jan 17 Santos vs Mirassol 2-1
RB Bragantino Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 RB Bragan… vs Capitao P… 1-1
Feb 20 RB Bragan… vs Mirassol 3-0
Feb 16 RB Bragan… vs Cametá 0-2
Feb 15 RB Bragan… vs Oeste 2-1
Feb 11 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 1-0
Feb 08 RB Bragan… vs São Paulo… 1-0
Jan 19 RB Bragan… vs São Berna… 3-2
Jan 16 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Dec 08 RB Bragan… vs Criciúma 5-1
Dec 05 RB Bragan… vs Athletico… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • RB Bragantino in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Santos struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 27, 2024 Santos 3 - 1 RB Bragantino Paulista - A1
Mar 03, 2024 RB Bragantino 1 - 0 Santos Paulista - A1
Oct 19, 2023 Santos 1 - 3 RB Bragantino Serie A
May 28, 2023 RB Bragantino 2 - 0 Santos Serie A
Oct 17, 2022 RB Bragantino 0 - 2 Santos Serie A
Jun 19, 2022 Santos 2 - 2 RB Bragantino Serie A
Nov 10, 2021 Santos 2 - 0 RB Bragantino Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santos Power 0
RB Bragantino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Santos Position

-11

Position Gap

3

RB Bragantino Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.