AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Mar 03, 2024

RB Bragantino

Home
VS
21:00

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
RB Bragantino Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Santos Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.28 - 0.88
Key Insights
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
RB Bragantino Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 RB Bragan… vs Cametá 1-0
Feb 17 RB Bragan… vs São Paulo… 2-2
Feb 10 RB Bragan… vs São Berna… 1-1
Jan 27 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 1-1
Dec 07 RB Bragan… vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Dec 03 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Nov 30 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 1-2
Nov 26 RB Bragan… vs Internaci… 1-0
Nov 24 RB Bragan… vs Flamengo 1-0
Nov 05 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Santos Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 29 Santos vs Fluminense 2-1
Feb 25 Santos vs Fluminense 0-3
Feb 18 Santos vs Novorizon… 1-2
Feb 14 Santos vs São Paulo… 0-1
Feb 11 Santos vs Mirassol 2-2
Feb 07 Santos vs Corinthia… 1-0
Feb 04 Santos vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Feb 03 Santos vs Águia de … 1-1
Jan 28 Santos vs Palmeiras 2-1
Jan 28 Santos vs Castanhal 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santos in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2023 Santos 1 - 3 RB Bragantino Serie A
May 28, 2023 RB Bragantino 2 - 0 Santos Serie A
Oct 17, 2022 RB Bragantino 0 - 2 Santos Serie A
Jun 19, 2022 Santos 2 - 2 RB Bragantino Serie A
Nov 10, 2021 Santos 2 - 0 RB Bragantino Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RB Bragantino to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Bragantino Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

RB Bragantino Position

+11

Position Gap

14

Santos Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.