AI Match Insights

Serie A May 28, 2023

RB Bragantino

Home
VS
21:30

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
RB Bragantino Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Santos Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.27 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.3 Position gap: 16 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Bragantino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
RB Bragantino Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 RB Bragan… vs Botafogo 2-0
Mar 12 RB Bragan… vs Cametá 2-0
Feb 11 RB Bragan… vs Mirassol 0-0
Jan 17 RB Bragan… vs São Berna… 1-1
Jan 15 RB Bragan… vs Corinthia… 1-0
Nov 09 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 6-0
Oct 17 RB Bragan… vs Santos 0-2
Sep 29 RB Bragan… vs Internaci… 0-0
Sep 07 RB Bragan… vs Atletico-… 1-1
Jul 20 RB Bragan… vs Fortaleza 2-1
Santos Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Santos vs Palmeiras 0-0
May 06 Santos vs Cruzeiro 2-1
Apr 01 Santos vs Fluminense 2-1
Mar 29 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Mar 18 Santos vs Fluminense 0-0
Feb 26 Santos vs Corinthia… 2-2
Feb 15 Santos vs Parnahyba 1-1
Feb 12 Santos vs São Paulo… 3-1
Feb 04 Santos vs Palmeiras 3-1
Jan 19 Santos vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2022 RB Bragantino 0 - 2 Santos Serie A
Jun 19, 2022 Santos 2 - 2 RB Bragantino Serie A
Nov 10, 2021 Santos 2 - 0 RB Bragantino Serie A
Final Verdict

MASTER: RB Bragantino to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
RB Bragantino Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

RB Bragantino Position

+16

Position Gap

17

Santos Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.