AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Nov 26, 2022

Paredes

Home
VS
15:00

São João Ver

Away
AI Predictions 52.3% Confidence
Paredes Win
52.3%
Draw
23.5%
São João Ver Win
24.1%
Home Win (52% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.15 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paredes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
São João Ver Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Paredes Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Paredes vs Sanjoanen… 3-2
Oct 09 Paredes vs Fafe 0-0
Sep 04 Paredes vs Guimaraes 0-1
São João Ver Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 São João … vs Varzim 1-0
Oct 29 São João … vs Varzim 1-0
Oct 22 São João … vs Guimaraes 2-1
Sep 18 São João … vs Sanjoanen… 0-0
Aug 20 São João … vs Fafe 1-1
Apr 24 São João … vs Sanjoanen… 1-0
Apr 02 São João … vs Sanjoanen… 1-0
Mar 05 São João … vs SC Braga 1-1
Feb 19 São João … vs Sanjoanen… 3-2
Feb 05 São João … vs Guimaraes 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paredes Power 0
São João Ver Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Paredes Position

+4

Position Gap

9

São João Ver Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.