AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Mar 30, 2024

FC Basel 1893

Home
VS
19:30

FC Zurich

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
FC Basel 1893 Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
FC Zurich Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.23 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Basel 1893 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
FC Zurich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
FC Basel 1893 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 FC Basel … vs FC Winter… 1-1
Mar 02 FC Basel … vs Lausanne 1-2
Feb 28 FC Basel … vs FC Lugano 2-2
Feb 11 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
Feb 03 FC Basel … vs FC Lugano 0-1
Jan 30 FC Basel … vs FC Winter… 1-3
Jan 21 FC Basel … vs FC Zurich 0-0
Dec 17 FC Basel … vs FC Luzern 0-1
Dec 06 FC Basel … vs FC Lugano 1-3
Nov 26 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 2-0
FC Zurich Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 FC Zurich vs BSC Young… 1-0
Feb 28 FC Zurich vs FC Winter… 0-2
Feb 25 FC Zurich vs FC Lugano 2-0
Feb 10 FC Zurich vs Grasshopp… 1-0
Jan 28 FC Zurich vs Grasshopp… 2-1
Jan 21 FC Zurich vs FC Basel … 0-0
Dec 16 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
Dec 13 FC Zurich vs FC Winter… 2-1
Nov 25 FC Zurich vs BSC Young… 3-1
Nov 12 FC Zurich vs FC Lugano 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Zurich struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2024 FC Zurich 0 - 0 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Sep 03, 2023 FC Basel 1893 2 - 2 FC Zurich Super League
May 07, 2023 FC Basel 1893 0 - 2 FC Zurich Super League
Apr 08, 2023 FC Zurich 1 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Oct 20, 2022 FC Basel 1893 0 - 0 FC Zurich Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Basel 1893 to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Basel 1893 Power 0
FC Zurich Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

FC Basel 1893 Position

+5

Position Gap

9

FC Zurich Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.