AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Jan 21, 2024

FC Zurich

Home
VS
15:30

FC Basel 1893

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
FC Zurich Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
FC Basel 1893 Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.71 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Zurich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
FC Basel 1893 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
FC Zurich Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
Dec 13 FC Zurich vs FC Winter… 2-1
Nov 25 FC Zurich vs BSC Young… 3-1
Nov 12 FC Zurich vs FC Lugano 0-3
Nov 04 FC Zurich vs Servette … 0-2
Oct 21 FC Zurich vs BSC Young… 0-0
Oct 07 FC Zurich vs FC Winter… 3-2
Sep 26 FC Zurich vs Grasshopp… 2-1
Sep 03 FC Zurich vs FC Basel … 2-2
Aug 26 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
FC Basel 1893 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 FC Basel … vs FC Luzern 0-1
Dec 06 FC Basel … vs FC Lugano 1-3
Nov 26 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 2-0
Nov 12 FC Basel … vs Servette … 4-1
Oct 29 FC Basel … vs Lausanne 3-0
Oct 21 FC Basel … vs Servette … 0-1
Sep 28 FC Basel … vs FC Luzern 1-1
Sep 03 FC Basel … vs FC Zurich 2-2
Aug 13 FC Basel … vs Lausanne 1-2
Jul 30 FC Basel … vs FC Winter… 5-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Basel 1893 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • FC Zurich struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 03, 2023 FC Basel 1893 2 - 2 FC Zurich Super League
May 07, 2023 FC Basel 1893 0 - 2 FC Zurich Super League
Apr 08, 2023 FC Zurich 1 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Oct 20, 2022 FC Basel 1893 0 - 0 FC Zurich Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Zurich Power 0
FC Basel 1893 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

FC Zurich Position

-5

Position Gap

4

FC Basel 1893 Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.